Tuesday, August 22, 2006

Rock the Cradle, Rock the Vote

It's the revenge of the conservative moms, the fertility gap, sequel to the Roe Effect. Arthur C. Brooks, WSJ:
Simply put, liberals have a big baby problem: They're not having enough of them, they haven't for a long time, and their pool of potential new voters is suffering as a result. According to the 2004 General Social Survey, if you picked 100 unrelated politically liberal adults at random, you would find that they had, between them, 147 children. If you picked 100 conservatives, you would find 208 kids. That's a "fertility gap" of 41%. Given that about 80% of people with an identifiable party preference grow up to vote the same way as their parents, this gap translates into lots more little Republicans than little Democrats to vote in future elections. Over the past 30 years this gap has not been below 20%--explaining, to a large extent, the current ineffectiveness of liberal youth voter campaigns today.
Simply put, aging liberals suffer from a prolonged adolescence. There wasn't much room in their me-first lives for children. Now it dawns on them that the hand that rocks the cradle rocks the vote.

UPDATE: More from IWF.

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