Looks like Hoffman is in trouble

ewerickson

Ppl pinging me laughing over Hoffman. I've said all along the goal was a Scozzafava defeat. Hoffman would just be gravy. Trial run for FLRCP:

10:45 -- Apparently Syracuse area is coming in. I think Hoffman's probably going to lose. --SEAN TRENDE

10:42 -- Hoffman's in real trouble in upstate New York. He'd have to carry the remaining portion of the district with about 54% of the two-party vote in order to win. Its frustrating not knowing where the remaining votes are located. --SEAN TRENDE

Maybe Mr. Smith doesn't get to go this time. A swift rise but not enough?

More. 11:00 eastern.

73wire

Watertown Mayor says Hoffman lost. Blames Scozzafava. http://bit.ly/2sCLIB #ny23 #teaparty #73wire

73wire

About 3,500 votes separate Owens and Hoffman. Many Republican precincts have yet to report. #ny23 #teaparty #73wire

More:

ewerickson

Hahaha. Dems trying to spin VA and NJ as meaningless, but NY-23 as most significant race that ever was.

More. RCP:

11:01 -- Owens is actually running behind Obama in a lot of these counties. Interesting. --SEAN TRENDE

10:58 -- Things aren't as great for Democrats in upstate NY as I thought. Clinton, Essex and Franklin counties, the Democratic strongholds, are largely in. Fulton County, which went for McCain with 54% of the vote, isn't in yet. Lewis County, another 54% McCain county is still out. On the other hand, St. Lawrence County, a 58% Obama County, is only half in. I guess it depends what happens in those counties and in the remainder of Oswego County. Still not great news for Hoffman, though. --SEAN TRENDE

More. 11:29 eastern.

73wire

We're getting several reports of big irregularities across #ny23. Working on finding out what is going on. #73wire

More.

PatrickRuffini

In the end Hoffman's only path to victory was keeping Scozzafava in at 15-20%. The moment she dropped, goodbye.

More. 11:35

73wire

Reports: numbers reported are not matching internal precinct tracking numbers. Hoffman could make late surge. #73wire #ny23

More.11:44

PatrickRuffini

#ny23 no regrets because even Owens > Scozzafava. Lesson: next time nominate a better frickin' candidate.

More. RCP:

11:40 -- Oswego County just came in. All that's left are precincts in St. Lawrence County, which Owens is carrying 55%-40% right now. Unless Hoffman has some huge stash of conservative precincts in St. Lawrence County, its over. --SEAN TRENDE

More. 11:55

ewerickson

Ppl pinging me laughing over Hoffman. I've said all along the goal was a Scozzafava defeat. Hoffman would just be gravy. Trial run for FL

FoxNews calls Dem Owens winner.