Tuesday, November 03, 2009

New Jersey Turns Purple?

RCP:
9:13 -- Wow. Corzine is only carrying Camden County by 7 points. He carried it by 25 points in 2005. Still, only 16% of the precincts are in, so maybe its the more exurban portions of the county. - SEAN TRENDE

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9:17 -- Corzine would have to carry the rest of the state with about 53% of the two party vote in order to sweep the state. With most of the heavily Dem areas half in, this seems unlikely. --SEAN TRENDE
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Geraghty:

Christie Wins Gloucester County

This looks big:

RWSparkle Jake Tapper reporting that NBC's "The Biggest Loser" is at the White House tonight. No kidding.. Too funny.

more. me. hot damn. if this holds, think what it could mean for Illinois. (corruption was a big issue there.)

more:
jimgeraghty Whoa: With 79% of precincts reporting, Christie leads by 1 percent, or about 1,000 votes in Bergen County, a county Obama carried by 10%.
more, RCP:
9:55 -- A GOP source in Bergen sends these updated numbers from key NJ county: 84% reporting, Christie has 650-vote edge -- MIKE MEMOLI
9:58 -- Some math here. Corzine trails by about 100,000 votes, with 66% reporting. Where does he make up that 100K? The big money districts for Dems are Camden, Essex and Hudson. Camden is 2/3 in with 70k votes. Give Corzine the rest of the votes and its about 30k votes. Do this type of analysis with Hudson and Essex and you get 50k or so for Hudson and 13k for Essex, which gets him his 100k. But there's still Republican counties out there, and Corzine isn't going to get 100% of those votes (probably). --SEAN TRENDE
more.10:11 eastern
LATimestot Breaking: Associated Press says Republican Christie wins NJ governors office. RNC Chair Steele enroute by charter.
Hoowee!!!

AP: GOP sweep: Big governor victories in Virginia, NJ:
WASHINGTON – Republicans surged to victory in governor's races in Virginia and New Jersey on Tuesday, wresting control from Democrats in both states as independents who swept Barack Obama to a historic 2008 victory broke big for the GOP. It was a troubling sign for the president and his party heading into an important midterm election year.
10:18 eastern, Fox calls it for Christie. yeah!!!

more:
jimgeraghty Boy, glad to see all those Obama appearances in New Jersey paid off. I mean, they did, just for GOP turnout efforts.
More. me--thank God it's enough of a margin, right now about 100,000 or so, that ACORN and the Dems can't steal it.

More:)
JimPethokoukis On Fox, Haley Barbour makes good point about GOP candidate recruitment; half of '94 crowd jumped in after '93 gov races
More. me. A victory for fat people everywhere!!!:)

More.
guypbenson Greta on Fox: White House refused to offer anyone to comment on tonight's results. Gee. #tcot
Brats. A victory for fat people everywhere!

More. They're chanting yes we can at the Christie victory speech. [correction: yes we did!]

Geraghty with some pix:)

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